Obviously, Canada. That it is so obvious Canada needs it more is not the outcome which works for us. But it’s what we demonstrate every day in every way.
Trans-Canada and the Harper Government’s assumptions going into this issue were that this was a “no-brainer” (the talking point for Canada’s missions in the U.S., repeated endlessly and counter-productively).
Things changed. Evidence emerged the U.S. could become self-sufficient in energy in several years via new applications to develop non-conventional national energy assets. The U.S. was no longer such an easy sell on Keystone’s merits. The company was way behind the curve, having used a pushy heavy hand against good local people, and counting on old-time lobbyists to do the usual in Washington – the wrong people, the wrong messages.
In probably the most bone-headed foreign policy ineptitude on record, the Canadian government and the tone-deaf oil executives they were working with just didn’t get the environmental issue at all.
What was required was a transparent and sincere plan for abatement in the oil sands. Those of us who want to see Keystone XL happen for the sake of Canadian development, really urged such a plan. Alison Redford got it. Not the blowhards and braggarts behind “ethical oil” and the other inanities that have defined the Canadian approach.
I think Obama will approve Keystone XL, reluctantly, but I’m not sure. It isn’t a “no-brainer.” He knows Canada has made his position more difficult. We have lost a lot of points in the White House by being both dumb and self-involved.
The continent needs an energy/environment plan in which Canadian energy would be a core component but including Canadian environmental innovation against carbon enhancement as a clear and active commitment. There is still no indication the Harper Government gets it. Oliver just blathers on from inside his bubble.